NYC MIXED PRECIP THURSDAY DISCUSSION
NYC MIXED PRECIP THURSDAY DISCUSSION
NYC MIXED PRECIP THURSDAY DISCUSSION – Good morning everyone! Thing’s aren’t looking Angry today, but it’s looking windy, raw, and wet after we get through this period of freezing rain and sleet. Today’s forecast is essentially panning out the way I originally expected; as we had a very brief period of snow, which now has become a mix of sleet, freezing rain, and rain. It will eventually turn to all rain as temps in the lower atmosphere rise high enough. Make no mistake, it will be a cold one as will the rain, and we may even see some sleet mixed in at times of heaviest precip because it’ll temporarily pull down some cold air into mid layer of the atmosphere; but little to no accumulation is expected at anytime during the day, highs in the upper 30’s.
Map Discussion 1
NYC MIXED PRECIP THURSDAY DISCUSSION – Low pressure will wrap up really tight off of Long Island and head to the Gulf of Maine, really hammering New England with extremely heavy snow; especially along the Maine Coast, with some areas seeing 2 feet plus of snow. As stated yesterday morning, the main story with this system for the NYC area will be the wind as things wrap up. We could see wind gusts in excess of 50mph tomorrow before sunrise. It is also possible that any rain in the area briefly turns to snow as the system departs. If this happens, we may see a quick dusting or coating, but it remains to be seen if there will be anything left as the atmosphere cools down. The best chance of someone seeing this departing shot would be the central/eastern Long Island, but it is not out of the question here either.
We still need to see what the atmosphere looks like when today’s system departs, but we’re keeping an eye on a longshot for Thursday, which could be our next weather-maker. Low pressure will slide around the back of today’s departing low and head into the area from Canada. As this is happening, Gulf moisture will head out and into the Southeastern U.S. We have to wait and see if these systems merge and timing is key. For now, confidence is low due to the fact that the speed of the low coming out of Canada is faster and may be too far offshore to merge and/or will merge too far offshore to affect us.
Still, this system still bears watching and even if they don’t merge, the low to our north may still bring us a chance of some light and scattered frozen precip as it passes over the area. As of now, I’m still calling for a sunny and dry week, which you can see in full detail here in my long range forecast.
Satellite shows our next storm taking shape, with overrunning precip first, then a low explodes in the Gulf of Maine.
Freezing rain and sleet is in the area as we speak, but should turn to all rain as things become unfavorable in the mid and lower layers of the atmosphere for anymore frozen precip.
The first band of moisture is transiting the area. We should see a break before a steadier and cold rain moves in late morning to early afternoon.
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